North Melbourne Kangaroos v Brisbane Lions prediction

AFL

Yuriy Borshchenko
May 4, 2025
Comments: 0

MATCH DETAILS:
Location:
Upcoming Information:AFL 11.05.2025
Competition: Lions v Kangaroos live

When/Date: 11.05.2025
Time: 2:40 am
Repeat:Live
Prediction on Kangaroos – Lions: Available

North Melbourne 16.6%

Brisbane 83.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Melbourne’s performance.

Brisbane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+83.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane’s recent form is better than expected.

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	5.36		1.11
	5.85		1.13
	5.36		1.11

Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 0.

North Melbourne has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brisbane is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1585:1464. (average 83.4:77.1).

Including home matches between the teams, North Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 708:466. (average 88.5:58.3).

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Brisbane Lions	8	7	0	1	723:632	114.40	28
2	Collingwood Magpies	8	6	0	2	735:552	133.15	24
3	Hawthorn Hawks	8	6	0	2	766:610	125.57	24
4	Gold Coast Suns	7	5	0	2	723:515	140.39	20
5	Adelaide Crows	8	5	0	3	829:629	131.80	20
6	Western Bulldogs	8	5	0	3	815:641	127.15	20
7	Geelong Cats	8	5	0	3	755:643	117.42	20
8	GWS Giants	8	4	0	4	675:587	114.99	16
9	Fremantle Dockers	8	4	0	4	660:679	97.20	16
10	St Kilda Saints	8	4	0	4	699:739	94.59	16
11	Essendon Bombers	7	4	0	3	561:633	88.63	16
12	Port Adelaide Power	8	4	0	4	661:752	87.90	16
13	Carlton Blues	8	3	0	5	668:615	108.62	12
14	Sydney Swans	8	3	0	5	664:683	97.22	12
15	Melbourne Demons	8	3	0	5	603:739	81.60	12
16	Richmond Tigers	8	2	0	6	527:831	63.42	8
17	North Melbourne	8	1	0	7	662:866	76.44	4
18	West Coast Eagles	8	0	0	8	518:898	57.68	0

North Melbourne Kangaroos AND Brisbane Lions LAST MATCHES

Latest Results

01.05.25 Essendon Bombers – North Melbourne Kangaroos – 65:62
26.04.25 Port Adelaide Power – North Melbourne Kangaroos – 97:88
18.04.25 North Melbourne Kangaroos – Carlton Blues – 71:153
11.04.25 North Melbourne Kangaroos – Gold Coast Suns – 89:141
05.04.25 North Melbourne Kangaroos – Sydney Swans – 52:117

04.05.25 Brisbane Lions – Gold Coast Suns – 66:49
25.04.25 St Kilda Saints – Brisbane Lions – 73:118
17.04.25 Brisbane Lions – Collingwood Magpies – 53:105
12.04.25 Western Bulldogs – Brisbane Lions – 97:118
05.04.25 Richmond Tigers – Brisbane Lions – 90:118

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